25/07/20

A crise política na Guiana

Um país que pouco se fala mas parece estar à beira do abismo (culpa de se ter descoberto petróleo?):
David Granger lost his bid to be reelected as president of Guyana. The ruling party appeared to manipulate the initial vote counting process. The recount monitored by observers showed an opposition victory. The president lost the appeal to the Caribbean Court of Justice. All of this comes after Granger manipulated the system to delay the election for over a year following a no-confidence vote that should have forced swift new elections.

The OAS, which had an observer mission in the country for the election, declared that the incumbent party lost and a power transition to President-elect Irfan Ali of the PPP/C should begin. Caricom has called for Granger to step down. The US has imposed sanctions on the Granger administration to pressure the president to accept his loss.

The international community’s willingness to turn against Granger is a sign of how unquestionable the loss is. Granger was clearly the preferred candidate for foreign businesses that want to invest in the country. Prior to this year, Granger had been an ally of the Lima Group and the US on Venezuela - the region’s biggest democracy challenge. If there was any question over the validity of the election, Granger would have allies supporting his effort to remain in power. He does not. [Latin America Risk Report, por James Bosworth]
Financial Times - Guyana’s long election deadlock stirs fears of civil war:
Four months after the most important election in Guyana’s history, there is still no officially recognised winner. The paralysis is hitting the country’s fledgling oil industry and there are worries the tiny South American country might slide into a racially charged civil war.
Para terem uma ideia da política da Guiana, podem ter uma olhada nos artigos da Wikipedia sobre o atual partido do governo e sobre o partido da oposição (que tudo indica ganhou as eleições, mas o presidente aparentemente derrotado recusa-se a deixar o cargo) - não me parece haver grandes diferenças ideológicas entre os dois (embora durante a Guerra Fria o primeiro tivesse uma reputação de mais pró-ocidental e o segundo de mais pró-soviético), mas sobretudo uma divisão étnica (um mais assente na comunidade negra, outra na de origem indiana).

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