Grécia cede?

É o que me parece.

Mr Stathakis conceded that technical work would need to be done in the coming days to formalise the agreement. But he was hopeful that Greece would be able to make its €1.5bn payment to the IMF on its due date of June 30 - and therefore avoid a devastating default.

He detailed Greece's new money-raising proposals. These include:

1) A new tax on businesses

2) A new tax on the wealthy

3) Some increases in the VAT rate on selected items.

But he said that his Syriza government, led by Alexis Tsipras, had avoided crossing its red lines.

So, he said, there would be no further reductions in pensions or public-sector wages. And there would be no increase in VAT on electricity.

He also said that the government had agreed with the IMF and eurozone governments that the targeted budget surplus would be 1% of GDP or national income this year, 2% next year and 3% the year after.

There will be no agreement with creditors to cut Greece's massive burden of debt, despite Syriza's earlier insistence on this. But Mr Stathakis told me the government heads' communique would say that debt relief will be on the agenda for negotiation in coming months.

Ou seja, nas questões relevantes (o deficit primário) e o valor/juro/prazo (vai dar ao mesmo) da dívida, o governo grego terá cedido. Sim, talvez tenha ganho nas questões dos salários e pensões, mas são questões que não tocam no essencial - o valor que a Grécia tem que pagar aos credores internacionais (as vitórias terão sido apenas na questão mais "técnica" de onde ir buscar o dinheiro, não de quanto dinheiro é preciso ir buscar).

Ainda por cima, pagando agora aquele enorme valor em dívida, está a desperdiçar a sua maior (ou única?) arma - a ameaça de não pagar a dívida e fazer a sistema financeiro mundial entrar numa situação de incerteza.