Regressando às Honduras

Na última hora, houve um aparente volte-face e o atual presidente e candidato conservador, Juan Hernandez, está agora à frente na contagem oficial dos votos, por cerca de um décimo de ponto percentual (supostamente os resultados definitivos irão ser anunciados 5º feira).

Os partidos da oposição têm as suas próprias contagens (que dão a vitória ao candidato da esquerda, Salvador Nasralla - tanto a Aliança que apoia Nasralla como o Partido Liberal, que ficou em terceiro lugar dizem que é esse o resultado) e alegam fraude.

Hernandez Takes Lead in Honduras Vote as Opponents Cry Fraud (Bloomberg):

Honduras’ pro-American leader took the lead in the nation’s presidential election as opposition supporters took to the streets to allege fraud and bonds extended their sell-off amid the potential for unrest.

President Juan Orlando Hernandez now leads opposition candidate Salvador Nasralla by 42.21 percent to 42.11 percent, with 83 percent of ballots counted. When the first votes were counted in the early hours of Monday, Nasralla was five percentage points ahead.

Honduran dollar bonds extended the biggest sell-off in emerging markets Wednesday as opposition supporters took to the streets to allege fraud. The nation’s bonds due 2027 fell 0.2 percent, are are down 2.5 percent over the last week. (...)

The electoral authority counted 58 percent of votes within nine hours of polls closing, then took a further 60 hours to reach the current level, leading opposition leaders to claim the government is trying to steal the election. Hernandez says he has an advantage in rural districts, which explains why he is closed the gap.